As per the current trends, BJP is not losing the most important state of UP (as of now). All surveys and political pandits are giving an edge to BJP.
Times Now Opinion poll But there was tension about just winning the election. BJP won 49.98% votes in the 2019 General election in UP and even if BJP loses 15% votes compared to 2019, they will end up with a 35% vote share and can easily win the UP election. UP assembly has 403 seats and even BJP loses 100 seats compared to the 2017 assembly election, they would still win 212 seats (a comfortable simple majority). But a simple majority may not be enough for BJP as it will create a perception that Modi's brand is losing its sheen in UP and it will create issues in the 2022 Presidential election. BJP withdrew the farm bills to please the Jat community in Western UP and create a perception that BJP is not anti-Jat.
Jat community may not have forgotten the 2013 Muzaffarnagar riots & the appeasement of minorities by Akhilesh Yadav Govt. Their anger towards BJP is based on mainly two issues - Farm laws & Sugarcane price / payment. The Sugarcane price has been increased by Rs 25 and Govt. is trying to clear all back dews & now farm bills have been repeated. So BJP thinks that they can save their Jat vote bank to some extent.
BJP has divided UP into three parts and has assigned three leaders in charge of the one-one area.
These leaders are - Amit Shah, J P Nadda, and Rajnath Singh. And Amit Shah is in charge of the Western UP. This shows that BJP is very serious bout the 2022 UP election and at the least, they would like to win 250 seats.
In Punjab, they had no chance but now BJP would be able to do campaigning because their workers and leaders were threatened and beaten by the protestors. And BJP in alliance with Captain Amrinder Singh can make the life of Congress very tough in Punjab.