Birth rates are in decline everywhere in the developed world. When a country’s GDP per capita hits about $15,000 pa its fertility (how many children each generation produces) shrinks, which shows the fertility of various countries to attain a stable population, each female has to produce 2 children on the average. No rich country (except Israel) meets this. All rich countries would be shrinking if not for inbound migration. Some - like Japan - that have almost no inbound migration are shrinking quite quickly. The major impact area far higher proportion of old people, which are a big economic drain.
Notice how 0 to 45 year olds are a far bigger proportion of Australia’s population than Japan’s? That’s inbound migration. And its totally predictable; the 25 to 35's this year - are the 35 to 45's in ten years. So we are able to see we won’t have as big an issue as almost anywhere else within the world. And as long as we keep pumping in plenty of 25 year old Indian professionals we all know we are going to be fine indefinitely.
Image sources Google
I want you to recall a previous observation, that as a rustic becomes more affluent its fertility drops, and after all drops below replacement rate at about $15,000 per capita each year. the quantity of poor countries is dropping, and also the number of developed countries is increasing.
At the instant, developed countries can get incredibly skilled people for nothing. Many top graduates from top Universities in India and China would love the chance to immigrate. We get the most effective of the most effective, at the beginning of their productive careers, all named with nothing left to spend, for nothing. This won’t last forever.
Image sources Google
Australia and Canada are just about the sole two large nations that may sustain this for many years. Both could easily double in population over the following 50 years, sustained by importing young immigrants. (Or a minimum of Australia can, we could develop our north. I’m undecided Canada has that option.)
So yes, we want migrants if we are to sustain our standard of living.
There is not a positive identification backlog of 800,000 applicants. the particular backlog is in far more than 3 million applicants. for a few reason when people discuss this they have an inclination to only speak about the 800,000 awaiting employment-based green cards and ignore the over two million who are looking ahead to family-based green cards.
The reason for the backlog is simple: Congress mandated, in 1990, that less than 675,000 people can get a positive identification a year (and, thanks to other provisions therein 1990 law, the effective limit is 421,000 per year). Even in 1990 this number was inadequate to hide the demand for green cards. which number has not been changed since 1990.
In 1990, the US population was 250 million, and also the world population was 5.28 billion. Today, these numbers have grown to 359 million and 78 billion, respectively. If the annual immigration limits had been adjusted to stay pace with US growth, that 675,000 would now be 888,000; if we kept pace with world population, it might be 1,000,000.
Simply put, there are more people that want to return to the US, and who qualify to come back to the US, applying annually than the US is willing to let in, which results in backlog. the explanation for these backlogs is that worldwide demand to immigrate to the US isn’t willing to adapt itself to Congress’s arbitrary, politically-determined limits. the sole options for doing anything about the backlog are to lift (or eliminate) the annual limit, dump everyone off the backlog and choose another process that doesn’t have backlogs like a lottery, change the law to scale back the amount of individuals who qualify to immigrate, or change the country so on make it that fewer people want to immigrate to the US.
Yusuf Bhandarkar multimediastudio9@gmail.com
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